Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.019331 0.022491 0.025980 0.030112 0.034870 0.040173 0.046529
2025-12-07 0.014586 0.018659 0.023569 0.029910 0.037867 0.047509 0.060065
2025-12-14 0.011069 0.015382 0.020996 0.028807 0.039362 0.053093 0.072274
2025-12-21 0.008868 0.013260 0.019375 0.028458 0.041546 0.059653 0.086522
2025-12-28 0.007773 0.012399 0.019233 0.029980 0.046358 0.070254 0.107607
2026-01-04 0.006750 0.011423 0.018708 0.030776 0.050119 0.079724 0.128209
2026-01-11 0.005604 0.010027 0.017282 0.029898 0.051093 0.085007 0.142996
2026-01-18 0.004798 0.009039 0.016331 0.029590 0.052848 0.091600 0.160513
2026-01-25 0.004067 0.008048 0.015204 0.028776 0.053574 0.096492 0.175669
2026-02-01 0.003502 0.007259 0.014302 0.028203 0.054585 0.101896 0.192212
2026-02-08 0.003068 0.006646 0.013623 0.027921 0.056043 0.108176 0.210925
2026-02-15 0.002653 0.005997 0.012776 0.027180 0.056504 0.112632 0.226692
2026-02-22 0.002479 0.005836 0.012891 0.028401 0.061014 0.125325 0.259798
2026-03-01 0.002214 0.005431 0.012444 0.028399 0.063057 0.133479 0.284992
2026-03-08 0.001910 0.004882 0.011607 0.027443 0.062978 0.137369 0.302034
2026-03-15 0.001697 0.004512 0.011109 0.027156 0.064288 0.144235 0.325984
2026-03-22 0.001625 0.004476 0.011370 0.028637 0.069700 0.160350 0.371373
2026-03-29 0.001515 0.004325 0.011335 0.029412 0.073590 0.173573 0.411860
2026-04-05 0.001330 0.003942 0.010675 0.028577 0.073590 0.178132 0.433452
2026-04-12 0.001196 0.003671 0.010258 0.028286 0.074855 0.185692 0.462706
2026-04-19 0.001056 0.003359 0.009684 0.027508 0.074809 0.190171 0.485196
2026-04-26 0.000942 0.003103 0.009223 0.026960 0.075270 0.195895 0.511266
2026-05-03 0.000852 0.002902 0.008883 0.026690 0.076416 0.203399 0.542466